Updated: 2020 Aug 15, 19:40 UT
Event Rank : 99
(The event Rank is a measure of the likelihood of observing an event, and is equal to the probability of at least one successful observation by a team of two observers spaced 1/8 path width just inside opposite sides of the predicted path. An event rank of 100 indicates that the prediction is expected to be very accurate).
THE UPDATED PATH
Note: The duration given in the line below is the interval during which the occultation shadow sweeps across the Earth - please see the minute markers on the map to determine the approximate time for your location.
On 2020 Oct 06 UT, the 128 km diameter asteroid (772) Tanete will occult a 12.2 mag star in the constellation Telescopium for observers along a path across Victoria, New South Wales and Queensland, passing over Mallacoota, Canberra, Parkes and Mackay.
In the case of an occultation, the combined light of the asteroid and the star will drop by 1.92 mag to 13.94 mag (the magnitude of the asteroid) for at most 8.3 seconds.
This update is based on UNSO/Flagstaff astrometry for the asteroid kindly provided by Hugh Harris, astrometry for the asteroid kindly provided by Bill Owen, astrometry for the asteroid kindly provided by the IAU Minor Planet Center. This work has made use of data from the European Space Agency (ESA) mission Gaia (http://www.cosmos.esa.int/gaia), processed by the Gaia Data Processing and Analysis Consortium (DPAC, http://www.cosmos.esa.int/web/gaia/dpac/consortium). Funding for the DPAC has been provided by national institutions, in particular the institutions participating in the Gaia Multilateral Agreement.
Additional details of this and other events are available at Steve Preston's website at http://www.asteroidoccultation.com/
EVENT DETAILS SUMMARY :Important Note regarding Accuracy:
The uncertainty interval in path widths given above (and shown as a 1-sigma uncertainty ellipse on the plot) refers to RMS deviation and is applied as a +/- range. In other words, a path uncertainty of 1.0 path widths means that the actual center of the asteroid's shadow path should fall within plus or minus 1 path width of the plotted path center. However path errors larger than 1 sigma have been observed so observers should be alert for primary occultations within plus or minus 3 sigma of the updated path.
Further, almost all asteroidal satellites discovered so far have been found within 10 diameters of the asteroid (since this distance is deep enough within the gravitational well to be stable over long timescales). Therefore, if monitoring for secondary events, observing out to about 10 path-widths either side of the predicted track remains worthwhile.
We therefore recommend that you monitor for events if your observing location is up to +/- 10 path-widths from the predicted track. If not monitoring for occultations by secondary bodies you should observe from locations within 3 sigma of the nominal path.
In terms of time, the predictions are now usually accurate to about +/- 0.3 minute so you should be most attentive during the predicted minute of the event. However if intending to catch a potential satellite occultation you should start observing at least 10 times the predicted central duration before the predicted closest approach time for your location, and continue for a similar period afterwards.
Occultation of UCAC4 194-189610 by 772 Tanete on 2020 Oct 6 Centre Star Star Sun Path Limit1 Path Limit2 Error Limit1 Error Limit2 Alt E. Longitude Latitude U.T. Alt Az Alt Crn o ' " o ' " h m s o o o o ' " o ' " o ' " o ' " o ' " o ' " o ' " o ' " Longitude Latitude Longitude Latitude Longitude Latitude Longitude Latitude 153 52 44 -43 43 37 15 16 33.2 27 224 -36 152 38 23 -44 33 17 155 7 57 -42 50 53 151 54 47 -45 1 19 155 52 52 -42 18 9 -1.91 153 41 28 -43 31 37 15 16 35.0 27 224 -36 152 27 7 -44 21 15 154 56 42 -42 38 56 151 43 32 -44 49 14 155 41 39 -42 6 12 -1.91 153 30 23 -43 19 32 15 16 36.7 27 224 -36 152 16 3 -44 9 6 154 45 38 -42 26 52 151 32 28 -44 37 4 155 30 36 -41 54 9 -1.91 153 19 29 -43 7 20 15 16 38.4 27 224 -36 152 5 9 -43 56 52 154 34 45 -42 14 41 151 21 35 -44 24 49 155 19 44 -41 41 58 -1.91 153 8 45 -42 55 2 15 16 40.1 27 224 -37 151 54 25 -43 44 33 154 24 2 -42 2 24 151 10 53 -44 12 28 155 9 4 -41 29 42 -1.91 152 58 13 -42 42 38 15 16 41.8 27 224 -37 151 43 53 -43 32 7 154 13 31 -41 50 1 151 0 21 -44 0 1 154 58 34 -41 17 18 -1.91 152 47 51 -42 30 8 15 16 43.5 27 224 -37 151 33 31 -43 19 37 154 3 11 -41 37 31 150 50 0 -43 47 30 154 48 15 -41 4 48 -1.91 152 37 40 -42 17 32 15 16 45.2 27 224 -37 151 23 20 -43 7 0 153 53 1 -41 24 55 150 39 49 -43 34 52 154 38 7 -40 52 11 -1.91 152 27 39 -42 4 50 15 16 46.9 27 224 -38 151 13 19 -42 54 17 153 43 2 -41 12 12 150 29 49 -43 22 9 154 28 9 -40 39 27 -1.91 152 17 49 -41 52 2 15 16 48.6 27 224 -38 151 3 29 -42 41 29 153 33 13 -40 59 23 150 19 59 -43 9 21 154 18 23 -40 26 37 -1.91 152 8 10 -41 39 8 15 16 50.3 27 224 -38 150 53 49 -42 28 36 153 23 36 -40 46 28 150 10 20 -42 56 27 154 8 47 -40 13 40 -1.91 151 58 41 -41 26 8 15 16 52.0 27 224 -38 150 44 20 -42 15 36 153 14 9 -40 33 25 150 0 51 -42 43 27 153 59 22 -40 0 36 -1.91 151 49 22 -41 13 1 15 16 53.7 26 224 -38 150 35 1 -42 2 31 153 4 53 -40 20 17 149 51 33 -42 30 22 153 50 8 -39 47 25 -1.91 151 40 14 -40 59 49 15 16 55.4 26 224 -39 150 25 52 -41 49 20 152 55 47 -40 7 1 149 42 24 -42 17 11 153 41 5 -39 34 7 -1.91 151 31 17 -40 46 30 15 16 57.1 26 224 -39 150 16 54 -41 36 3 152 46 52 -39 53 39 149 33 26 -42 3 55 153 32 12 -39 20 43 -1.91 151 22 30 -40 33 5 15 16 58.8 26 224 -39 150 8 6 -41 22 40 152 38 8 -39 40 11 149 24 38 -41 50 33 153 23 30 -39 7 11 -1.91 151 13 53 -40 19 34 15 17 0.5 26 224 -39 149 59 28 -41 9 12 152 29 34 -39 26 35 149 16 1 -41 37 6 153 14 59 -38 53 33 -1.91 151 5 27 -40 5 56 15 17 2.2 26 224 -40 149 51 1 -40 55 37 152 21 10 -39 12 53 149 7 33 -41 23 33 153 6 38 -38 39 47 -1.91 150 57 11 -39 52 12 15 17 3.9 26 224 -40 149 42 43 -40 41 57 152 12 58 -38 59 4 148 59 16 -41 9 54 152 58 28 -38 25 54 -1.91 150 49 5 -39 38 22 15 17 5.6 26 224 -40 149 34 36 -40 28 11 152 4 56 -38 45 9 148 51 8 -40 56 9 152 50 29 -38 11 54 -1.92 150 41 10 -39 24 26 15 17 7.3 26 224 -40 149 26 39 -40 14 19 151 57 4 -38 31 6 148 43 11 -40 42 19 152 42 41 -37 57 47 -1.92 150 33 25 -39 10 23 15 17 9.0 26 224 -41 149 18 52 -40 0 20 151 49 23 -38 16 56 148 35 23 -40 28 23 152 35 3 -37 43 32 -1.92 150 25 50 -38 56 13 15 17 10.7 25 224 -41 149 11 15 -39 46 16 151 41 52 -38 2 40 148 27 46 -40 14 22 152 27 36 -37 29 10 -1.92 150 18 25 -38 41 57 15 17 12.4 25 224 -41 149 3 48 -39 32 6 151 34 32 -37 48 16 148 20 18 -40 0 14 152 20 20 -37 14 41 -1.92 150 11 11 -38 27 34 15 17 14.1 25 224 -41 148 56 31 -39 17 49 151 27 23 -37 33 45 148 13 0 -39 46 0 152 13 15 -37 0 4 -1.92 150 4 7 -38 13 5 15 17 15.8 25 223 -42 148 49 24 -39 3 27 151 20 24 -37 19 7 148 5 52 -39 31 41 152 6 20 -36 45 19 -1.92 149 57 13 -37 58 29 15 17 17.5 25 223 -42 148 42 27 -38 48 58 151 13 36 -37 4 21 147 58 54 -39 17 15 151 59 37 -36 30 26 -1.92 149 50 30 -37 43 46 15 17 19.3 25 223 -42 148 35 40 -38 34 22 151 6 58 -36 49 28 147 52 6 -39 2 44 151 53 4 -36 15 26 -1.92 149 43 57 -37 28 56 15 17 21.0 25 223 -42 148 29 3 -38 19 41 151 0 31 -36 34 27 147 45 28 -38 48 6 151 46 42 -36 0 17 -1.92 149 37 34 -37 13 59 15 17 22.7 25 223 -43 148 22 36 -38 4 53 150 54 15 -36 19 19 147 38 59 -38 33 22 151 40 31 -35 45 0 -1.92 149 31 21 -36 58 54 15 17 24.4 25 223 -43 148 16 19 -37 49 58 150 48 10 -36 4 2 147 32 41 -38 18 32 151 34 31 -35 29 35 -1.92 149 25 19 -36 43 43 15 17 26.1 24 223 -43 148 10 12 -37 34 57 150 42 15 -35 48 38 147 26 32 -38 3 36 151 28 43 -35 14 2 -1.92 149 19 27 -36 28 25 15 17 27.8 24 223 -44 148 4 15 -37 19 48 150 36 31 -35 33 6 147 20 33 -37 48 33 151 23 5 -34 58 20 -1.92 149 13 46 -36 12 58 15 17 29.5 24 223 -44 147 58 28 -37 4 34 150 30 58 -35 17 26 147 14 44 -37 33 23 151 17 39 -34 42 30 -1.92 149 8 15 -35 57 25 15 17 31.2 24 223 -44 147 52 51 -36 49 12 150 25 36 -35 1 37 147 9 4 -37 18 7 151 12 24 -34 26 30 -1.93 149 2 55 -35 41 44 15 17 32.9 24 223 -44 147 47 24 -36 33 43 150 20 25 -34 45 40 147 3 35 -37 2 45 151 7 20 -34 10 22 -1.93 148 57 45 -35 25 55 15 17 34.6 24 223 -45 147 42 7 -36 18 7 150 15 25 -34 29 34 146 58 15 -36 47 15 151 2 28 -33 54 4 -1.93 148 52 45 -35 9 58 15 17 36.3 24 223 -45 147 37 1 -36 2 24 150 10 36 -34 13 20 146 53 6 -36 31 39 150 57 47 -33 37 37 -1.93 148 47 57 -34 53 53 15 17 38.0 23 223 -45 147 32 4 -35 46 34 150 5 59 -33 56 56 146 48 6 -36 15 56 150 53 18 -33 21 0 -1.93 148 43 19 -34 37 39 15 17 39.7 23 223 -45 147 27 18 -35 30 36 150 1 33 -33 40 24 146 43 16 -36 0 6 150 49 1 -33 4 13 -1.93 148 38 51 -34 21 18 15 17 41.4 23 223 -46 147 22 42 -35 14 31 149 57 18 -33 23 41 146 38 36 -35 44 9 150 44 56 -32 47 16 -1.93 148 34 35 -34 4 48 15 17 43.1 23 223 -46 147 18 16 -34 58 18 149 53 15 -33 6 50 146 34 6 -35 28 4 150 41 3 -32 30 9 -1.93 148 30 30 -33 48 9 15 17 44.8 23 223 -46 147 14 1 -34 41 57 149 49 24 -32 49 48 146 29 47 -35 11 52 150 37 22 -32 12 51 -1.93 148 26 35 -33 31 21 15 17 46.5 23 223 -46 147 9 56 -34 25 28 149 45 44 -32 32 37 146 25 37 -34 55 32 150 33 54 -31 55 22 -1.93 148 22 52 -33 14 24 15 17 48.2 22 222 -47 147 6 1 -34 8 50 149 42 16 -32 15 15 146 21 38 -34 39 5 150 30 38 -31 37 43 -1.93 148 19 20 -32 57 18 15 17 49.9 22 222 -47 147 2 18 -33 52 5 149 39 1 -31 57 42 146 17 48 -34 22 29 150 27 36 -31 19 51 -1.93 148 16 0 -32 40 2 15 17 51.6 22 222 -47 146 58 44 -33 35 11 149 35 58 -31 39 59 146 14 10 -34 5 46 150 24 46 -31 1 48 -1.94 148 12 51 -32 22 36 15 17 53.3 22 222 -47 146 55 22 -33 18 8 149 33 8 -31 22 4 146 10 41 -33 48 54 150 22 10 -30 43 32 -1.94 148 9 54 -32 5 1 15 17 55.0 22 222 -48 146 52 11 -33 0 56 149 30 30 -31 3 58 146 7 23 -33 31 54 150 19 47 -30 25 4 -1.94 148 7 8 -31 47 15 15 17 56.7 21 222 -48 146 49 10 -32 43 35 149 28 5 -30 45 40 146 4 16 -33 14 46 150 17 38 -30 6 22 -1.94 148 4 35 -31 29 18 15 17 58.4 21 222 -48 146 46 21 -32 26 5 149 25 54 -30 27 10 146 1 19 -32 57 29 150 15 43 -29 47 27 -1.94 148 2 14 -31 11 10 15 18 0.1 21 222 -49 146 43 43 -32 8 25 149 23 56 -30 8 27 145 58 34 -32 40 2 150 14 3 -29 28 18 -1.94 148 0 5 -30 52 51 15 18 1.8 21 222 -49 146 41 16 -31 50 35 149 22 11 -29 49 30 145 55 59 -32 22 27 150 12 37 -29 8 54 -1.94 147 58 9 -30 34 21 15 18 3.6 21 222 -49 146 39 1 -31 32 35 149 20 41 -29 30 21 145 53 35 -32 4 42 150 11 27 -28 49 16 -1.94 147 56 26 -30 15 38 15 18 5.3 20 222 -49 146 36 58 -31 14 25 149 19 26 -29 10 57 145 51 22 -31 46 47 150 10 33 -28 29 21 -1.94 147 54 56 -29 56 44 15 18 7.0 20 222 -50 146 35 6 -30 56 4 149 18 25 -28 51 18 145 49 21 -31 28 43 150 9 54 -28 9 10 -1.94 147 53 39 -29 37 36 15 18 8.7 20 222 -50 146 33 27 -30 37 31 149 17 39 -28 31 24 145 47 31 -31 10 28 150 9 33 -27 48 42 -1.95 147 52 36 -29 18 15 15 18 10.4 20 222 -50 146 32 0 -30 18 48 149 17 9 -28 11 15 145 45 53 -30 52 2 150 9 28 -27 27 55 -1.95 147 51 47 -28 58 40 15 18 12.1 19 221 -50 146 30 46 -29 59 52 149 16 55 -27 50 48 145 44 27 -30 33 26 150 9 42 -27 6 50 -1.95 147 51 13 -28 38 51 15 18 13.8 19 221 -51 146 29 44 -29 40 45 149 16 58 -27 30 5 145 43 13 -30 14 38 150 10 14 -26 45 25 -1.95 147 50 53 -28 18 48 15 18 15.5 19 221 -51 146 28 56 -29 21 25 149 17 18 -27 9 3 145 42 12 -29 55 39 150 11 5 -26 23 39 -1.95 147 50 48 -27 58 28 15 18 17.2 19 221 -51 146 28 21 -29 1 51 149 17 57 -26 47 42 145 41 23 -29 36 28 150 12 17 -26 1 31 -1.95 147 51 0 -27 37 53 15 18 18.9 18 221 -52 146 28 0 -28 42 5 149 18 53 -26 26 1 145 40 47 -29 17 5 150 13 49 -25 39 0 1.95 147 51 27 -27 17 1 15 18 20.6 18 221 -52 146 27 53 -28 22 4 149 20 9 -26 4 0 145 40 24 -28 57 28 150 15 44 -25 16 4 1.95 147 52 11 -26 55 51 15 18 22.3 18 221 -52 146 28 0 -28 1 48 149 21 46 -25 41 35 145 40 15 -28 37 39 150 18 2 -24 52 41 1.96 147 53 13 -26 34 22 15 18 24.0 18 221 -52 146 28 23 -27 41 18 149 23 43 -25 18 48 145 40 19 -28 17 36 150 20 45 -24 28 51 1.96 147 54 33 -26 12 35 15 18 25.7 17 221 -53 146 29 0 -27 20 31 149 26 3 -24 55 35 145 40 38 -27 57 18 150 23 55 -24 4 30 1.96 147 56 11 -25 50 26 15 18 27.4 17 221 -53 146 29 54 -26 59 28 149 28 47 -24 31 56 145 41 11 -27 36 45 150 27 32 -23 39 37 1.96 147 58 9 -25 27 56 15 18 29.1 17 221 -53 146 31 4 -26 38 8 149 31 55 -24 7 48 145 41 59 -27 15 57 150 31 39 -23 14 9 1.96 148 0 28 -25 5 4 15 18 30.8 16 221 -54 146 32 31 -26 16 29 149 35 30 -23 43 9 145 43 3 -26 54 53 150 36 18 -22 48 3 1.96 148 3 8 -24 41 47 15 18 32.5 16 221 -54 146 34 16 -25 54 31 149 39 33 -23 17 58 145 44 23 -26 33 31 150 41 32 -22 21 15 1.97 148 6 11 -24 18 4 15 18 34.2 16 220 -54 146 36 19 -25 32 13 149 44 6 -22 52 11 145 45 59 -26 11 52 150 47 23 -21 53 42 1.97 148 9 38 -23 53 54 15 18 35.9 15 220 -54 146 38 41 -25 9 34 149 49 12 -22 25 46 145 47 53 -25 49 55 150 53 57 -21 25 18 1.97 148 13 30 -23 29 15 15 18 37.6 15 220 -55 146 41 23 -24 46 33 149 54 53 -21 58 38 145 50 5 -25 27 37 151 1 16 -20 55 58 1.97 148 17 50 -23 4 4 15 18 39.3 15 220 -55 146 44 27 -24 23 8 150 1 12 -21 30 44 145 52 35 -25 4 59 151 9 27 -20 25 35 1.97 148 22 38 -22 38 19 15 18 41.0 14 220 -55 146 47 52 -23 59 17 150 8 14 -21 1 59 145 55 25 -24 41 59 151 18 36 -19 54 0 1.98 148 27 57 -22 11 58 15 18 42.7 14 220 -56 146 51 41 -23 35 0 150 16 2 -20 32 16 145 58 36 -24 18 36 151 28 51 -19 21 2 1.98 148 33 50 -21 44 56 15 18 44.4 14 220 -56 146 55 55 -23 10 15 150 24 43 -20 1 29 146 2 8 -23 54 49 151 40 23 -18 46 28 1.98 148 40 19 -21 17 10 15 18 46.1 13 220 -56 147 0 35 -22 44 58 150 34 22 -19 29 29 146 6 3 -23 30 35 151 53 27 -18 9 58 1.99 148 47 28 -20 48 36 15 18 47.8 13 220 -56 147 5 44 -22 19 8 150 45 10 -18 56 4 146 10 22 -23 5 54 152 8 23 -17 31 6 1.99 148 55 21 -20 19 9 15 18 49.6 12 220 -57 147 11 22 -21 52 43 150 57 17 -18 21 0 146 15 6 -22 40 43 152 25 39 -16 49 16 1.99 149 4 3 -19 48 42 15 18 51.3 12 220 -57 147 17 33 -21 25 39 151 10 58 -17 43 57 146 20 18 -22 15 0 152 46 1 -16 3 29 2.00 149 13 40 -19 17 6 15 18 53.0 11 219 -57 147 24 19 -20 57 52 151 26 34 -17 4 28 146 25 59 -21 48 43 153 10 45 -15 12 7 2.00 149 24 18 -18 44 14 15 18 54.7 11 219 -57 147 31 44 -20 29 18 151 44 35 -16 21 55 146 32 11 -21 21 48 153 42 24 -14 11 51 2.01 149 36 9 -18 9 52 15 18 56.4 10 219 -58 147 39 51 -19 59 53 152 5 49 -15 35 17 146 38 57 -20 54 12 154 27 59 -12 53 41 2.02 149 49 23 -17 33 44 15 18 58.1 10 219 -58 147 48 44 -19 29 31 152 31 37 -14 42 47 146 46 19 -20 25 52 ... .. .. .. .. .. 2.03 150 4 19 -16 55 29 15 18 59.8 9 219 -58 147 58 30 -18 58 4 153 4 46 -13 40 53 146 54 22 -19 56 43 ... .. .. .. .. .. 2.04 150 21 18 -16 14 37 15 19 1.5 8 219 -59 148 9 15 -18 25 24 153 53 12 -12 19 21 147 3 10 -19 26 39 ... .. .. .. .. .. 2.05 150 40 57 -15 30 23 15 19 3.2 7 219 -59 148 21 8 -17 51 19 ... .. .. .. .. .. 147 12 47 -18 55 35 ... .. .. .. .. .. 2.08 151 4 10 -14 41 35 15 19 4.9 7 219 -59 148 34 20 -17 15 35 ... .. .. .. .. .. 147 23 19 -18 23 21 ... .. .. .. .. .. 2.11
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