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Updated: 2020 APR 06, 04:45 UT
Event Rank : 94
(The event Rank is a measure of the likelihood of observing an event, and is equal to the probability of at least one successful observation by a team of two observers spaced 1/8 path width just inside opposite sides of the predicted path. An event rank of 100 indicates that the prediction is expected to be very accurate).
THE UPDATED PATH
Note: The duration given in the line below is the interval during which the occultation shadow sweeps across the Earth - please see the minute markers on the map to determine the approximate time for your location.
On 2020 Jul 14 UT, the 46.5 km diameter asteroid (432) Pythia will occult a 10.3 mag star in the constellation Piscis Austrinus for observers along a path across Western Australia from Kununurra across eastern Western Australia to east of Esperence.
In the case of an occultation, the combined light of the asteroid and the star will drop by 1.62 mag to 11.64 mag (the magnitude of the asteroid) for at most 6.1 seconds.
This update is based on UNSO/Flagstaff astrometry for the asteroid kindly provided by Hugh Harris, astrometry for the asteroid kindly provided by Bill Owen, astrometry for the asteroid kindly provided by the IAU Minor Planet Center.
This work has made use of data from the European Space Agency (ESA)mission Gaia (http://www.cosmos.esa.int/gaia), processed by the Gaia Data Processing and Analysis Consortium (DPAC, http://www.cosmos.esa.int/web/gaia/dpac/consortium). Funding for the DPAC has been provided by national institutions, inparticular the institutions participating in the Gaia Multilateral Agreement.
Additional details of this and other events are available at Steve Preston's website at http://www.asteroidoccultation.com/
EVENT DETAILS SUMMARY :Important Note regarding Accuracy:
The uncertainty interval in path widths given above (and shown as a 1-sigma uncertainty ellipse on the plot) refers to RMS deviation and is applied as a +/- range. In other words, a path uncertainty of 1.0 path widths means that the actual center of the asteroid's shadow path should fall within plus or minus 1 path width of the plotted path center. However path errors larger than 1 sigma have been observed so observers should be alert for primary occultations within plus or minus 3 sigma of the updated path.
Further, almost all asteroidal satellites discovered so far have been found within 10 diameters of the asteroid (since this distance is deep enough within the gravitational well to be stable over long timescales). Therefore, if monitoring for secondary events, observing out to about 10 path-widths either side of the predicted track remains worthwhile.
We therefore recommend that you monitor for events if your observing location is up to +/- 10 path-widths from the predicted track. If not monitoring for occultations by secondary bodies you should observe from locations within 3 sigma of the nominal path.
In terms of time, the predictions are now usually accurate to about +/- 0.3 minute so you should be most attentive during the predicted minute of the event. However if intending to catch a potential satellite occultation you should start observing at least 10 times the predicted central duration before the predicted closest approach time for your location, and continue for a similar period afterwards.
Occultation of TYC 6957-488-1 by 432 Pythia on 2020 Jul 14
Centre Star Star Sun Path Limit1 Path Limit2 Error Limit1 Error Limit2 Alt
E. Longitude Latitude U.T. Alt Az Alt Crn
o ' " o ' " h m s o o o o ' " o ' " o ' " o ' " o ' " o ' " o ' " o ' "
Longitude Latitude Longitude Latitude Longitude Latitude Longitude Latitude
134 32 54 - 1 20 35 20 15 49.1 42 233 -13 134 48 26 - 1 20 44 134 17 27 - 1 20 23 135 2 47 - 1 20 49 134 3 15 - 1 20 10 0.52
134 21 21 - 1 45 39 20 15 54.2 43 233 -13 134 36 50 - 1 45 49 134 5 55 - 1 45 25 134 51 10 - 1 45 56 133 51 46 - 1 45 10 0.52
134 9 58 - 2 10 34 20 15 59.3 43 234 -13 134 25 26 - 2 10 46 133 54 35 - 2 10 19 134 39 43 - 2 10 55 133 40 27 - 2 10 2 0.52
133 58 46 - 2 35 21 20 16 4.4 43 234 -14 134 14 11 - 2 35 35 133 43 24 - 2 35 4 134 28 27 - 2 35 46 133 29 18 - 2 34 46 0.52
133 47 44 - 3 0 1 20 16 9.5 44 234 -14 134 3 7 - 3 0 17 133 32 24 - 2 59 42 134 17 21 - 3 0 29 133 18 20 - 2 59 23 0.52
133 36 52 - 3 24 33 20 16 14.6 44 234 -14 133 52 13 - 3 24 50 133 21 34 - 3 24 13 134 6 26 - 3 25 4 133 7 30 - 3 23 52 0.52
133 26 9 - 3 48 58 20 16 19.7 45 235 -14 133 41 29 - 3 49 17 133 10 52 - 3 48 36 133 55 40 - 3 49 32 132 56 51 - 3 48 13 0.52
133 15 36 - 4 13 15 20 16 24.7 45 235 -15 133 30 54 - 4 13 36 133 0 20 - 4 12 52 133 45 4 - 4 13 52 132 46 20 - 4 12 28 0.52
133 5 11 - 4 37 26 20 16 29.8 45 235 -15 133 20 28 - 4 37 48 132 49 57 - 4 37 1 133 34 36 - 4 38 6 132 35 58 - 4 36 36 0.52
132 54 55 - 5 1 30 20 16 34.9 46 235 -15 133 10 11 - 5 1 54 132 39 43 - 5 1 4 133 24 18 - 5 2 13 132 25 45 - 5 0 37 0.52
132 44 48 - 5 25 28 20 16 40.0 46 236 -16 133 0 3 - 5 25 53 132 29 37 - 5 25 0 133 14 9 - 5 26 13 132 15 40 - 5 24 32 0.52
132 34 49 - 5 49 19 20 16 45.1 46 236 -16 132 50 3 - 5 49 45 132 19 39 - 5 48 50 133 4 8 - 5 50 7 132 5 43 - 5 48 21 0.52
132 24 59 - 6 13 4 20 16 50.2 47 236 -16 132 40 11 - 6 13 32 132 9 49 - 6 12 34 132 54 15 - 6 13 55 131 55 54 - 6 12 4 0.53
132 15 16 - 6 36 43 20 16 55.3 47 237 -16 132 30 27 - 6 37 12 132 0 7 - 6 36 12 132 44 30 - 6 37 37 131 46 13 - 6 35 41 0.53
132 5 41 - 7 0 17 20 17 0.3 47 237 -17 132 20 52 - 7 0 47 131 50 33 - 6 59 44 132 34 54 - 7 1 13 131 36 39 - 6 59 12 0.53
131 56 13 - 7 23 45 20 17 5.4 48 237 -17 132 11 23 - 7 24 16 131 41 6 - 7 23 11 132 25 25 - 7 24 43 131 27 13 - 7 22 37 0.53
131 46 53 - 7 47 7 20 17 10.5 48 237 -17 132 2 2 - 7 47 40 131 31 46 - 7 46 32 132 16 3 - 7 48 8 131 17 53 - 7 45 57 0.53
131 37 40 - 8 10 24 20 17 15.6 48 238 -17 131 52 49 - 8 10 58 131 22 34 - 8 9 48 132 6 49 - 8 11 27 131 8 41 - 8 9 12 0.53
131 28 34 - 8 33 36 20 17 20.7 49 238 -18 131 43 42 - 8 34 11 131 13 28 - 8 32 58 131 57 42 - 8 34 41 130 59 36 - 8 32 22 0.53
131 19 34 - 8 56 43 20 17 25.8 49 238 -18 131 34 43 - 8 57 19 131 4 29 - 8 56 4 131 48 42 - 8 57 50 130 50 38 - 8 55 26 0.53
131 10 42 - 9 19 45 20 17 30.9 49 239 -18 131 25 50 - 9 20 22 130 55 37 - 9 19 5 131 39 49 - 9 20 54 130 41 46 - 9 18 26 0.53
131 1 56 - 9 42 42 20 17 35.9 50 239 -18 131 17 4 - 9 43 20 130 46 51 - 9 42 1 131 31 3 - 9 43 53 130 33 0 - 9 41 21 0.53
130 53 17 -10 5 34 20 17 41.0 50 239 -19 131 8 24 -10 6 14 130 38 12 -10 4 52 131 22 23 -10 6 48 130 24 21 -10 4 12 0.53
130 44 43 -10 28 22 20 17 46.1 50 240 -19 130 59 51 -10 29 3 130 29 39 -10 27 39 131 13 49 -10 29 38 130 15 48 -10 26 58 0.53
130 36 16 -10 51 6 20 17 51.2 50 240 -19 130 51 24 -10 51 47 130 21 12 -10 50 22 131 5 22 -10 52 24 130 7 21 -10 49 40 0.53
130 27 56 -11 13 45 20 17 56.3 51 240 -19 130 43 3 -11 14 28 130 12 51 -11 13 1 130 57 1 -11 15 5 129 59 0 -11 12 17 0.53
130 19 41 -11 36 21 20 18 1.4 51 241 -20 130 34 48 -11 37 4 130 4 36 -11 35 35 130 48 47 -11 37 42 129 50 45 -11 34 51 0.53
130 11 31 -11 58 52 20 18 6.5 51 241 -20 130 26 39 -11 59 36 129 56 27 -11 58 5 130 40 38 -12 0 15 129 42 36 -11 57 20 0.53
130 3 28 -12 21 19 20 18 11.5 52 241 -20 130 18 36 -12 22 4 129 48 23 -12 20 31 130 32 35 -12 22 44 129 34 32 -12 19 46 0.53
129 55 30 -12 43 42 20 18 16.6 52 242 -20 130 10 38 -12 44 29 129 40 25 -12 42 54 130 24 37 -12 45 9 129 26 33 -12 42 7 0.53
129 47 38 -13 6 2 20 18 21.7 52 242 -20 130 2 46 -13 6 49 129 32 32 -13 5 13 130 16 46 -13 7 31 129 18 40 -13 4 25 0.53
129 39 51 -13 28 18 20 18 26.8 52 243 -21 129 55 0 -13 29 6 129 24 45 -13 27 28 130 9 0 -13 29 48 129 10 52 -13 26 40 0.53
129 32 9 -13 50 31 20 18 31.9 53 243 -21 129 47 19 -13 51 20 129 17 3 -13 49 40 130 1 19 -13 52 3 129 3 10 -13 48 51 0.53
129 24 33 -14 12 40 20 18 37.0 53 243 -21 129 39 43 -14 13 30 129 9 26 -14 11 48 129 53 44 -14 14 14 128 55 32 -14 10 59 0.53
129 17 2 -14 34 46 20 18 42.1 53 244 -21 129 32 12 -14 35 37 129 1 54 -14 33 53 129 46 14 -14 36 21 128 48 0 -14 33 3 0.54
129 9 36 -14 56 49 20 18 47.1 53 244 -21 129 24 47 -14 57 40 128 54 27 -14 55 55 129 38 49 -14 58 25 128 40 33 -14 55 4 0.54
129 2 15 -15 18 48 20 18 52.2 54 245 -22 129 17 27 -15 19 40 128 47 5 -15 17 54 129 31 29 -15 20 26 128 33 10 -15 17 2 0.54
128 54 58 -15 40 45 20 18 57.3 54 245 -22 129 10 11 -15 41 38 128 39 49 -15 39 50 129 24 15 -15 42 24 128 25 52 -15 38 57 0.54
128 47 47 -16 2 38 20 19 2.4 54 245 -22 129 3 1 -16 3 32 128 32 36 -16 1 43 129 17 5 -16 4 19 128 18 39 -16 0 49 0.54
128 40 41 -16 24 29 20 19 7.5 54 246 -22 128 55 55 -16 25 23 128 25 29 -16 23 32 129 10 0 -16 26 11 128 11 31 -16 22 38 0.54
128 33 39 -16 46 17 20 19 12.6 55 246 -22 128 48 54 -16 47 12 128 18 26 -16 45 20 129 3 0 -16 48 1 128 4 27 -16 44 25 0.54
128 26 42 -17 8 2 20 19 17.7 55 247 -23 128 41 58 -17 8 58 128 11 28 -17 7 4 128 56 5 -17 9 47 127 57 28 -17 6 9 0.54
128 19 49 -17 29 44 20 19 22.7 55 247 -23 128 35 6 -17 30 41 128 4 34 -17 28 46 128 49 14 -17 31 31 127 50 33 -17 27 50 0.54
128 13 1 -17 51 24 20 19 27.8 55 248 -23 128 28 19 -17 52 21 127 57 45 -17 50 25 128 42 28 -17 53 12 127 43 43 -17 49 28 0.54
128 6 17 -18 13 2 20 19 32.9 55 248 -23 128 21 37 -18 14 0 127 51 0 -18 12 2 128 35 47 -18 14 51 127 36 57 -18 11 5 0.54
127 59 38 -18 34 37 20 19 38.0 56 249 -23 128 14 59 -18 35 35 127 44 20 -18 33 36 128 29 10 -18 36 27 127 30 16 -18 32 38 0.54
127 53 3 -18 56 10 20 19 43.1 56 249 -24 128 8 26 -18 57 9 127 37 43 -18 55 8 128 22 38 -18 58 1 127 23 38 -18 54 10 0.54
127 46 33 -19 17 40 20 19 48.2 56 249 -24 128 1 56 -19 18 40 127 31 12 -19 16 38 128 16 10 -19 19 33 127 17 5 -19 15 39 0.54
127 40 6 -19 39 8 20 19 53.3 56 250 -24 127 55 32 -19 40 9 127 24 44 -19 38 6 128 9 47 -19 41 2 127 10 36 -19 37 6 0.54
127 33 44 -20 0 35 20 19 58.3 56 250 -24 127 49 11 -20 1 36 127 18 20 -19 59 31 128 3 27 -20 2 30 127 4 11 -19 58 31 0.54
127 27 27 -20 21 59 20 20 3.4 57 251 -24 127 42 55 -20 23 0 127 12 1 -20 20 55 127 57 12 -20 23 55 126 57 50 -20 19 54 0.54
127 21 13 -20 43 21 20 20 8.5 57 251 -24 127 36 43 -20 44 23 127 5 46 -20 42 16 127 51 2 -20 45 19 126 51 34 -20 41 15 0.54
127 15 3 -21 4 41 20 20 13.6 57 252 -25 127 30 35 -21 5 44 126 59 34 -21 3 36 127 44 55 -21 6 40 126 45 21 -21 2 34 0.54
127 8 58 -21 25 59 20 20 18.7 57 252 -25 127 24 31 -21 27 3 126 53 27 -21 24 54 127 38 53 -21 27 59 126 39 12 -21 23 52 0.54
127 2 56 -21 47 16 20 20 23.8 57 253 -25 127 18 31 -21 48 20 126 47 24 -21 46 10 127 32 55 -21 49 17 126 33 7 -21 45 7 0.55
126 56 59 -22 8 31 20 20 28.9 57 253 -25 127 12 35 -22 9 36 126 41 25 -22 7 24 127 27 1 -22 10 33 126 27 6 -22 6 21 0.55
126 51 5 -22 29 44 20 20 33.9 58 254 -25 127 6 44 -22 30 49 126 35 29 -22 28 37 127 21 11 -22 31 48 126 21 9 -22 27 33 0.55
126 45 16 -22 50 56 20 20 39.0 58 255 -25 127 0 56 -22 52 2 126 29 38 -22 49 48 127 15 25 -22 53 0 126 15 16 -22 48 44 0.55
126 39 30 -23 12 6 20 20 44.1 58 255 -26 126 55 12 -23 13 12 126 23 50 -23 10 58 127 9 43 -23 14 11 126 9 26 -23 9 53 0.55
126 33 48 -23 33 15 20 20 49.2 58 256 -26 126 49 33 -23 34 22 126 18 6 -23 32 6 127 4 6 -23 35 21 126 3 40 -23 31 0 0.55
126 28 10 -23 54 22 20 20 54.3 58 256 -26 126 43 57 -23 55 29 126 12 26 -23 53 13 126 58 32 -23 56 29 125 57 58 -23 52 7 0.55
126 22 36 -24 15 28 20 20 59.4 58 257 -26 126 38 25 -24 16 36 126 6 50 -24 14 18 126 53 2 -24 17 36 125 52 20 -24 13 12 0.55
126 17 6 -24 36 33 20 21 4.5 59 257 -26 126 32 57 -24 37 41 126 1 17 -24 35 22 126 47 36 -24 38 42 125 46 46 -24 34 15 0.55
126 11 39 -24 57 36 20 21 9.5 59 258 -26 126 27 33 -24 58 45 125 55 48 -24 56 25 126 42 14 -24 59 46 125 41 15 -24 55 18 0.55
126 6 17 -25 18 38 20 21 14.6 59 258 -26 126 22 12 -25 19 48 125 50 23 -25 17 27 126 36 56 -25 20 50 125 35 47 -25 16 19 0.55
126 0 58 -25 39 39 20 21 19.7 59 259 -27 126 16 56 -25 40 49 125 45 2 -25 38 27 126 31 41 -25 41 52 125 30 24 -25 37 19 0.55
125 55 42 -26 0 40 20 21 24.8 59 260 -27 126 11 43 -26 1 50 125 39 44 -25 59 27 126 26 31 -26 2 53 125 25 4 -25 58 18 0.55
125 50 31 -26 21 39 20 21 29.9 59 260 -27 126 6 34 -26 22 49 125 34 30 -26 20 26 126 21 24 -26 23 53 125 19 48 -26 19 17 0.55
125 45 23 -26 42 37 20 21 35.0 59 261 -27 126 1 29 -26 43 48 125 29 20 -26 41 23 126 16 22 -26 44 52 125 14 35 -26 40 14 0.55
125 40 19 -27 3 34 20 21 40.1 59 261 -27 125 56 28 -27 4 46 125 24 13 -27 2 20 126 11 23 -27 5 50 125 9 26 -27 1 10 0.55
125 35 19 -27 24 30 20 21 45.1 60 262 -27 125 51 30 -27 25 43 125 19 10 -27 23 16 126 6 28 -27 26 47 125 4 20 -27 22 6 0.55
125 30 22 -27 45 26 20 21 50.2 60 263 -27 125 46 36 -27 46 39 125 14 11 -27 44 11 126 1 36 -27 47 44 124 59 18 -27 43 0 0.55
125 25 30 -28 6 21 20 21 55.3 60 263 -27 125 41 46 -28 7 34 125 9 15 -28 5 6 125 56 49 -28 8 40 124 54 20 -28 3 54 0.55
125 20 40 -28 27 15 20 22 0.4 60 264 -28 125 37 0 -28 28 29 125 4 23 -28 26 0 125 52 6 -28 29 35 124 49 25 -28 24 48 0.55
125 15 55 -28 48 9 20 22 5.5 60 264 -28 125 32 18 -28 49 23 124 59 35 -28 46 53 125 47 26 -28 50 29 124 44 34 -28 45 41 0.56
125 11 13 -29 9 2 20 22 10.6 60 265 -28 125 27 39 -29 10 16 124 54 50 -29 7 45 125 42 50 -29 11 23 124 39 47 -29 6 33 0.56
125 6 35 -29 29 54 20 22 15.7 60 266 -28 125 23 4 -29 31 9 124 50 9 -29 28 37 125 38 18 -29 32 16 124 35 3 -29 27 25 0.56
125 2 1 -29 50 47 20 22 20.7 60 266 -28 125 18 33 -29 52 2 124 45 31 -29 49 29 125 33 50 -29 53 9 124 30 22 -29 48 16 0.56
124 57 30 -30 11 38 20 22 25.8 60 267 -28 125 14 6 -30 12 54 124 40 57 -30 10 20 125 29 25 -30 14 2 124 25 45 -30 9 7 0.56
124 53 3 -30 32 29 20 22 30.9 60 268 -28 125 9 42 -30 33 46 124 36 27 -30 31 11 125 25 5 -30 34 54 124 21 12 -30 29 57 0.56
124 48 40 -30 53 20 20 22 36.0 60 268 -28 125 5 22 -30 54 37 124 32 1 -30 52 2 125 20 48 -30 55 45 124 16 42 -30 50 47 0.56
124 44 21 -31 14 11 20 22 41.1 60 269 -28 125 1 6 -31 15 28 124 27 38 -31 12 52 125 16 36 -31 16 37 124 12 16 -31 11 37 0.56
124 40 5 -31 35 2 20 22 46.2 60 269 -28 124 56 54 -31 36 19 124 23 19 -31 33 42 125 12 27 -31 37 28 124 7 54 -31 32 27 0.56
124 35 53 -31 55 52 20 22 51.3 60 270 -29 124 52 46 -31 57 10 124 19 3 -31 54 32 125 8 22 -31 58 19 124 3 35 -31 53 17 0.56
124 31 45 -32 16 42 20 22 56.3 60 271 -29 124 48 42 -32 18 0 124 14 51 -32 15 22 125 4 21 -32 19 10 123 59 20 -32 14 6 0.56
124 27 41 -32 37 33 20 23 1.4 60 271 -29 124 44 41 -32 38 51 124 10 43 -32 36 12 125 0 24 -32 40 1 123 55 8 -32 34 56 0.56
124 23 40 -32 58 23 20 23 6.5 61 272 -29 124 40 44 -32 59 41 124 6 39 -32 57 2 124 56 31 -33 0 52 123 51 0 -32 55 45 0.56
124 19 43 -33 19 13 20 23 11.6 61 273 -29 124 36 52 -33 20 32 124 2 38 -33 17 52 124 52 42 -33 21 43 123 46 56 -33 16 35 0.56
124 15 51 -33 40 3 20 23 16.7 61 273 -29 124 33 3 -33 41 23 123 58 41 -33 38 42 124 48 57 -33 42 34 123 42 55 -33 37 24 0.56
124 12 2 -34 0 54 20 23 21.8 61 274 -29 124 29 18 -34 2 14 123 54 48 -33 59 32 124 45 16 -34 3 25 123 38 59 -33 58 14 0.56
124 8 17 -34 21 45 20 23 26.9 61 275 -29 124 25 38 -34 23 5 123 50 59 -34 20 22 124 41 39 -34 24 16 123 35 6 -34 19 4 0.56
124 4 36 -34 42 36 20 23 31.9 61 275 -29 124 22 1 -34 43 56 123 47 14 -34 41 13 124 38 6 -34 45 8 123 31 17 -34 39 55 0.56
124 0 59 -35 3 27 20 23 37.0 61 276 -29 124 18 28 -35 4 48 123 43 33 -35 2 4 124 34 38 -35 6 0 123 27 31 -35 0 45 0.56
123 57 26 -35 24 18 20 23 42.1 61 276 -29 124 15 0 -35 25 39 123 39 55 -35 22 55 124 31 13 -35 26 52 123 23 50 -35 21 36 0.56
123 53 57 -35 45 10 20 23 47.2 61 277 -29 124 11 35 -35 46 32 123 36 22 -35 43 47 124 27 53 -35 47 45 123 20 12 -35 42 27 0.56
123 50 32 -36 6 3 20 23 52.3 61 278 -30 124 8 15 -36 7 24 123 32 52 -36 4 39 124 24 38 -36 8 38 123 16 38 -36 3 19 0.57
123 47 12 -36 26 56 20 23 57.4 61 278 -30 124 4 59 -36 28 18 123 29 27 -36 25 31 124 21 26 -36 29 31 123 13 9 -36 24 12 0.57
123 43 55 -36 47 49 20 24 2.5 60 279 -30 124 1 48 -36 49 11 123 26 6 -36 46 24 124 18 19 -36 50 25 123 9 43 -36 45 4 0.57
123 40 43 -37 8 43 20 24 7.5 60 280 -30 123 58 40 -37 10 6 123 22 49 -37 7 18 124 15 16 -37 11 20 123 6 21 -37 5 58 0.57
123 37 35 -37 29 38 20 24 12.6 60 280 -30 123 55 38 -37 31 1 123 19 36 -37 28 13 124 12 18 -37 32 15 123 3 4 -37 26 52 0.57
123 34 31 -37 50 33 20 24 17.7 60 281 -30 123 52 39 -37 51 57 123 16 27 -37 49 8 124 9 24 -37 53 11 122 59 50 -37 47 47 0.57
123 31 32 -38 11 30 20 24 22.8 60 282 -30 123 49 45 -38 12 53 123 13 22 -38 10 4 124 6 35 -38 14 8 122 56 41 -38 8 42 0.57
123 28 37 -38 32 27 20 24 27.9 60 282 -30 123 46 56 -38 33 50 123 10 22 -38 31 0 124 3 51 -38 35 5 122 53 36 -38 29 39 0.57
123 25 47 -38 53 24 20 24 33.0 60 283 -30 123 44 11 -38 54 48 123 7 27 -38 51 58 124 1 11 -38 56 4 122 50 35 -38 50 36 0.57
Uncertainty in time = +/- 3 secs
Prediction of 2020 Apr 6.0
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