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Updated: 2008 MAR 12, 23:08 UT
Event Rank : 32
(The event Rank is a measure of the likelihood of observing an event, and is equal to the probability of at least one successful observation by a team of two observers spaced 1/8 path width just inside opposite sides of the predicted path. An event rank of 100 indicates that the prediction is expected to be very accurate).
THE UPDATED PATH
Note: The duration given in the line below is the interval during which the occultation shadow sweeps across the Earth - please see the minute markers on the map to determine the approximate time for your location.
On 2008 Mar 15 UT, the 22 km diameter asteroid (1584) Fuji will occult a 10.7 mag star in the constellation Centaurus for observers along a narrow path across Australia from just north of Perth to just east of Darwin.
In the case of an occultation, the combined light of the asteroid and the star will drop by 3.5 mag to 14.2 mag (the magnitude of the asteroid) for at most 2.0 seconds.
This update is based on UNSO/Flagstaff astrometry for the asteroid kindly provided by Alice Monet, historical astrometry from the MPC files (via AstDys), and the following catalogs for the star position: UCAC.
Additional details of this and other events are available at Steve Preston's website at http://www.asteroidoccultation.com/
EVENT DETAILS SUMMARY :Important Note regarding Accuracy:
The uncertainty interval in path widths given above (and shown as a 1-sigma uncertainty ellipse on the plot) refers to RMS deviation and is applied as a +/- range. In other words, a path uncertainty of 1.0 path widths means that the actual center of the asteroid's shadow path should fall within plus or minus 1 path width of the plotted path center. However path errors larger than 1 sigma have been observed so observers should be alert for primary occultations within plus or minus 3 sigma of the updated path.
Further, almost all asteroidal satellites discovered so far have been found within 10 diameters of the asteroid (since this distance is deep enough within the gravitational well to be stable over long timescales). Therefore, if monitoring for secondary events, observing out to about 10 path-widths either side of the predicted track remains worthwhile.
We therefore recommend that you monitor for events if your observing location is up to +/- 10 path-widths from the predicted track. If not monitoring for occultations by secondary bodies you should observe from locations within 3 sigma of the nominal path.
In terms of time, the predictions are now usually accurate to about +/- 0.3 minute so you should be most attentive during the predicted minute of the event. However if intending to catch a potential satellite occultation you should start observing at least 10 times the predicted central duration before the predicted closest approach time for your location, and continue for a similar period afterwards.
Centre Star Star Sun Path Limits Error Limits
E. Longitude Latitude U.T. Alt Az Alt Limit 1 Limit 2 Limit 3 Limit 4
o ' " o ' " h m s o o o o ' " o ' " o ' " o ' "
Longitude Longitude Longitude Longitude
137 54 24 1 0 0 16 55 2 36 182 -61 137 47 14 138 1 34 137 17 9 138 31 27
137 29 8 0 0 0 16 55 9 37 182 -61 137 21 56 137 36 20 136 51 45 138 6 19
137 3 13 - 1 0 0 16 55 16 38 181 -61 136 55 59 137 10 26 136 25 41 137 40 32
136 36 38 - 2 0 0 16 55 24 39 181 -62 136 29 22 136 43 53 135 58 56 137 14 6
136 9 21 - 3 0 0 16 55 31 40 181 -62 136 2 3 136 16 38 135 31 28 136 47 0
135 41 21 - 4 0 0 16 55 39 41 180 -62 135 34 1 135 48 40 135 3 16 136 19 12
135 12 36 - 5 0 0 16 55 47 42 180 -62 135 5 13 135 19 58 134 34 18 135 50 40
134 43 4 - 6 0 0 16 55 55 43 180 -62 134 35 39 134 50 29 134 4 32 135 21 22
134 12 44 - 7 0 0 16 56 4 44 179 -63 134 5 16 134 20 12 133 33 56 134 51 17
Latitude Latitude Latitude Latitude
133 0 0 - 9 17 28 16 56 24 46 178 -63 - 9 3 32 - 9 31 21 - 8 4 38 -10 28 46
132 0 0 -11 4 31 16 56 40 48 177 -63 -10 51 4 -11 17 55 - 9 54 18 -12 13 22
131 0 0 -12 46 16 16 56 56 49 176 -63 -12 33 16 -12 59 13 -11 38 25 -13 52 53
130 0 0 -14 23 4 16 57 12 51 175 -63 -14 10 28 -14 35 37 -13 17 23 -15 27 38
129 0 0 -15 55 14 16 57 28 52 174 -63 -15 43 1 -16 7 24 -14 51 33 -16 57 55
128 0 0 -17 23 4 16 57 43 54 173 -62 -17 11 12 -17 34 54 -16 21 13 -18 24 0
127 0 0 -18 46 49 16 57 58 55 172 -62 -18 35 16 -18 58 20 -17 46 39 -19 46 8
126 0 0 -20 6 44 16 58 12 56 171 -62 -19 55 29 -20 17 57 -19 8 9 -21 4 32
125 0 0 -21 23 1 16 58 27 57 169 -61 -21 12 3 -21 33 58 -20 25 54 -22 19 25
124 0 0 -22 35 54 16 58 41 58 168 -61 -22 25 11 -22 46 35 -21 40 9 -23 30 59
123 0 0 -23 45 32 16 58 55 59 167 -60 -23 35 4 -23 55 59 -22 51 4 -24 39 23
122 0 0 -24 52 7 16 59 8 60 165 -60 -24 41 53 -25 2 20 -23 58 50 -25 44 49
121 0 0 -25 55 47 16 59 22 61 164 -59 -25 45 46 -26 5 47 -25 3 38 -26 47 24
120 0 0 -26 56 42 16 59 34 61 162 -59 -26 46 53 -27 6 30 -26 5 36 -27 47 17
119 0 0 -27 54 59 16 59 47 62 160 -58 -27 45 21 -28 4 36 -27 4 53 -28 44 36
118 0 0 -28 50 47 16 59 59 63 159 -58 -28 41 20 -29 0 13 -28 1 37 -29 39 29
117 0 0 -29 44 12 17 0 12 63 157 -57 -29 34 55 -29 53 28 -28 55 56 -30 32 2
116 0 0 -30 35 21 17 0 23 64 155 -57 -30 26 14 -30 44 28 -29 47 55 -31 22 22
115 0 0 -31 24 20 17 0 35 64 154 -56 -31 15 22 -31 33 18 -30 37 42 -32 10 35
114 0 0 -32 11 15 17 0 46 64 152 -55 -32 2 26 -32 20 4 -31 25 22 -32 56 46
113 0 0 -32 56 12 17 0 57 65 150 -55 -32 47 30 -33 4 53 -32 11 2 -33 41 1
112 0 0 -33 39 15 17 1 8 65 148 -54 -33 30 41 -33 47 48 -32 54 45 -34 23 24
Use these links for further information:
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