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This prediction update has been computed by Steve Preston of Medina, Washington (state) in the United States based on astrometry from Ron Stone of the US Naval Observatory - Flagstaff Station supplemented with data from the AstDys database. The UCAC position of the target star has been used combined with proper motion information from Tycho 2.
Summary:
This updated path lies around two path widths to the south of that given by Occult and around 10 seconds earlier. The new path covers the south island of New Zealand between Timaru and Balclutha including Dunedin around 7:09:15 UT.
While the error tolerance for this calculation is among the smaller seen so far, there are reasonable chances of seeing an occultation from any point of the South Island south of around Christchurch. (The uncertainty circle on the graphic below is the 1 sigma limit).
Observers should note that the target star is faint (magnitude = 12.1). The magnitude drop for this event is only 1.4 and any observer who can comfortably monitor the target star may well see the asteroid during any occultation.
Additional details of this and other events are available at Steve Preston's website at http://www.oz.net/~stevepr/Asteroids/asteroid.htm
THE EVENT AT ONE GLIMPSE:
A set of finder charts are available with the Occult prediction and can be viewed by clicking here.
IMPORTANT NOTE!
Astrometric updates such as these should not be taken as definitive, but rather only as an indication of where the true track may lie relative to the original predicted track. Observers must bear in mind that later astrometry, in which the target star is measured in the same field as the asteroid, may still reveal substantial changes to the predicted track and time of the event. For this reason it is most important that observers far from the predicted track still monitor the event.
Use these links for further information:
[Planetary Occultations]
[Using the Predictions]
[Observing Details]
[Timing Details]
[Reporting Details]
[Report Form]
[Asteroid Occultation Results]
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